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The real World War is the Muslim Jihad: it started in 634 and it's gone on continuously ever since. In the 19th century, the West thought it was all over because they were no longer under attack, but it was still going strong in Africa and Asia. Now we're back in the firing line, and too many can't see it, assuming it's just a "terrorist minority".
I'm not quite sure that the next conflagration(s) will qualify as world wars. We've had two of those so far, both a continuation of more-or-less the same basic conflict. Neither installment worked out very well for anyone concerned.
What I think we're seeing now is "continuous war," or "war without end, a-men," promoted vigorously by The United States and by its military industrial complex. (Which has now expanded its scope to include a multitude of domestic programs.) The trouble with that being that, even though it enriches the plutocrats, it's bloodletting for the nation itself.
Although it is certainly possible that global war will erupt from "the re-partitioning of the Ottoman Empire," the Nation of Israel by-itself would not be in a position to "start it." The circumstances which lead to these nation-states (Israel, Palestine, and its immediate neighbors) existing in the first place are all consequences of that original partition, which was purely done to "go the spoils" (oil ...) to "the victors" of WW2. Israel & Company might threaten loudly to do it ... and who t'hell gave them nukes? ... but it would take much more than this group of ancient hot-heads to fire off a global tinder-box.
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We could blame the collapse of the Ottoman Empire for many things but not World Wars. The fight between Middle East and West started way before the Ottoman Empire was even a reality let alone its collapse which was probably inevitable anyway. It is hard to discount over 1000 years, some may say 1500 years, of intense dislike. If a new WW does break out and the Middle East is the centre of its start it is highly likely the Western World is responsible for it.
We could blame the collapse of the Ottoman Empire for many things but not World Wars. The fight between Middle East and West started way before the Ottoman Empire was even a reality let alone its collapse which was probably inevitable anyway. It is hard to discount over 1000 years, some may say 1500 years, of intense dislike. If a new WW does break out and the Middle East is the centre of its start it is highly likely the Western World is responsible for it.
'Fraid I can't exactly argue with you on that one, friend. There has been emnity in those parts ... well, since Abraham. And unfortunately, there's also a vast amount of oil nearby. It is this oil, as well as certain other natural resources such as lithium and opium, which certainly do make the region a magnet for the sort of people who have both the power and the predisposition to start wars.
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I just don't believe think the Middle East will be the problem.
Russia has been flexing its so called muscles alot since VV Putin come to power and alot more recently with Georgia, Ukraine, Snatching people from within sovereign nations (Latvia, Lithuania or Estonia I can't remember which) and keeping them against all treaties from seeing their own consular officials. I'm not saying other countries don't do this (Guantanamo Bay anyone?) but what I am saying is the rapid escalation of this behaviour is concerning.
I won't even go into the fact they have warships very far from home in a deliberate display of muscle towards Australia and others in the South Pacific. Last I saw the map of the globe Russia was no where near the southern hemisphere and had no territorial claims to anything, expect for a portion of Antarctica which you wouldn't use a military vessel to go to, in the Southern Hemisphere. Oops I did go into it, oh well.
Sadam might have been a mad-ass (that was the funniest thing GWB ever really said) but Putin is a mad-man who appears to not give a crap about how many people die in his attempt to rebuild a glory that was, in a historical sense, very short and fleeting. I dislike him, I don;t trust him, and I don't want him anywhere near my country.
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