Lunduke's 2020 Computer Industry Predictions

Bryan Lunduke: Lunduke's 2020 Computer Industry Predictions

Published on Jan 1, 2020 Lunduke's 2020 Computer Industry Predictions 2019 was a wild and crazy year for the computer industry... and 2020 looks to be wilder, crazier, and generally more bonkers than many of the years that have come before. What will come to pass, in the computer industry, during 2020? These are my predictions. Note: My accuracy rate in predictions seems to be running about 75% over the last several years. I think that number will be even higher this year. Note #2: I've also published my 2020 predictions for what will transpire within the Linux and Open Source industry.

Prediction 2: I think it's interesting that Microsoft bought Github. I guess they thought that owning all the source of most of the interesting FLOSS out there was worth it. And they're right. I jumped ship when they bought Github. Anyway, I wonder what they will grab next. I think Canonical is the too obvious choice, and I think it would have happened already if it could.

Prediction 3: I think it's something Canonical has been wanting, but it won't happen. I think Ubuntu is just too much of a toy distro to be useful to a company. Plus, it's a downstream of Debian! They need to be their own upstream in order to be useful, like RHEL is for Red Hat. The SuSE folks use rpm but they're in no way a downstream of RHEL.

Prediction 5: I think that the openSUSE people having a separate, community distro is a little superfluous. There's already a community rpm-based distro: Fedora for fast movers, and CentOS for slow movers. I guess I have a slightly-negative opinion of openSUSE because it's superfluous, but that's it. No real reason.

Prediction 6: That is an interesting thought. I don't think Linus is motivated solely by money. As Lunduke said, he's already (predicted to be) wealthy. If I were Linus, I would stay involved because Linux has his name in it, and so it is an extension of himself. He would have opinions about its direction; it's important to him personally to have it be a certain way.