Well, Vista went on sale here in the UK Yesterday, and the BBC put up a "Have your Say" forum on their site to allow discussion. From comments, it appears that those of us who use Linux will continue to do so. Many Windoze users are talking of jumping ship, as a result of draconian DRM issues, the extreme hardware requirements this bloatware imposes, or just the cost. I see *no-one* suggesting they dump Linux to go to Vista....
Now it's obviously a self-selecting audience that will be contributing to the site, but it brings an interesting issue to the fore: that of a two-tier structure in computing.
IMHO Vista delivers very little that Linux can't, and in many cases, Linux delivers more (Virus resistance/ general security/ speed/ cost/ hardware requirements, etc, etc ad infinitum, ad nauseum). So there is no reason for us to change back to Windows of any type.
However, the common-or-garden variety of Windoze user has no perspective. He pays for his OS, then the money he pays is used against him to deliver sometimes questionable advertising encouraging him to spend more, a vicious (or to William G, virtuous) cycle. It's only when you see the bigger picture and understand there are options (Linux, BSD, MacOS, etc) that you recognize the real situation, but Joe Public will never see the bigger picture because he is paying to have his "vista" (sorry! Pun!) restricted to the Gatesian offering.
What will happen is that the vast majority of the computing public will stay with windoze because either they know no different (Wot's Linux??
) or because they think Linux is "difficult". So we end up with a large number of folk with a very restricted set of computing skills, and a clique of linux'ers who can and do push the envelope (you want proof, look at this forum)
This is damaging to a county: these days, the weaker the computing skills, it seems, the weaker the economy. There is, however, a light at the proverbial "end of the tunnel", but it may be the train coming the other way.....
The cost of windoze, in both hardware and software, will limit its deployment to wealthy, 1st world countries. The poorer places will use Linux out of need. They will, incidentally, have a better experience, learn how to use computers better, and improve their country competitiveness, albeit in small chunks.
You have to ask why Mr Gates makes the generous offers of discounts for his software in places of restricted wealth...Is he just being a good guy and giving alms to the poor, or is he really trying to maintain the two-tier status of computing, because, just think what would happen to his empire if a very large, developing country "accidentally" proved how good Linux is.
Am I seeing the world through a cynical veil, or rose-tinted spectacles...why is a robust, competent, free OS snubbed in favour of closed, expensive, restrictive software?
The Emperor has no clothes!