USA Election 2020 - the Sequel (Georgia)
"After the election is before the election" someone said.
I thought it was a given that the senate will be mostly republican, but apparently not, and currently there's a run to win the senate election in Georgia, which could tip the scales either way, meaning there's still a chance of a democratic majority in the senate. This gives Mr Trump another chance to ... erm, whatever you call it he's doing. Not on the global scale of slackjawed wonder as before, but still in the familiar manner we have come to expect from the one and only Eric Cartman of the White House! So, how is it going, what are the chances, topics, outcomes, consequences, and please correct me on my rudimentary knowledge of US government. Let's continue discussing politics in a civilised manner on LQ! |
If both democrats when that would split the Senate at 50-50 with the Veep as the tie breaker. If both Republicans win that would give them control and if the latter happens will see if Senator Mitch McConnell is willing to work with or against the President-elect.
The attacks on Georgia's election process could hurt turn out with Republicans voters so we will have to wait and see what happens. If your implying that it gives him a chance to steal the election then it is possible. When Congress certifies the vote on 6 Jan there could be a challenge. With the democrats in control of the house and the few Senators that have recognized Biden as the President-Elect it seems unlikely however, anything can happen... |
This seems difficult with the way you started the thread.
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US government is three branches, Executive, Legislative, and Judicial, https://www.usa.gov/branches-of-government The executive's term will end in January because they did not get reelected. There are 100 seats in the senate, 2 per state, and 2 seats remain to be selected by special elections. The decisions are by voting majority, all "statements" made by anyone about these elections in advance of the results are either campaign statements or personal opinions intended to sway voters' opinions. In the end, voters have free choice, and as stated, majority rules. Quote:
To me it seems that this will cause some inflation which England cannot afford. What are your thoughts about India being left out of the meeting in the UN about Afghanistan? I feel they should have been represented if this is truly intended to strike a peace accord. How do you feel about a senior member of the New Zealand parliament stirring up an argument for arguments sake? We had a similar situation recently in the US senate over face masks. Very petty and childish I'd say for leaders, in both situations. |
^ Yes, I have an opinion in these matters. Thank you for pointing it out, although I thought I made it clear many times. I'm not trying to appear impartial in matters of US politics. Let's leave it at that, don't turn this into yet another meta-discussion.
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But I did not fully understand what you wrote after that. I am aware that a republican dominated senate can make life hard for the upcoming democratic government, but actually undo it? How? |
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The intentions were never to allow domination of one party over another, unless that actually was the will of the voting public. The structure of election process is intended to allow the public to revise their decisions at each new election. Since senators sit for 6 year terms, every 2 years, 1/3 of the senate seats are up for election. I feel the 2 term limit imposed on the Chief Executive should apply also the the house and senate, but it doesn't and there are no term limits for those persons. WRT the point about "making life hard for the upcoming democratic government", once again, the structure is not intended to provide clear, unimpeded policy actions by any one self-invested group. Just because there are two dominant parties, does not mean there cannot be more, there have been quite a few more parties over the years, but none have retained the staying power of the democratic and republican parties. People disagree, and the larger the group, the more serious the issues, the greater the disagreements sometimes. I feel it is perfectly natural that a sitting president has to exercise diplomacy and fair dealings in order to convince opposing party members to agree with their policies, budget proposals, and etc. The chief executive can do a lot of things, but they also can NOT unilaterally do a lot of things. For instance Congress can only declare war, but the president can send troops and do something like a Police Action, but the intentions are that there are checks and balances to avoid abuse of this. As with all systems, there are some flaws. Similarly, the creation of a law, first goes through the house and then the senate, and then the president has an opportunity to approve or veto, but those can be challenged. Technically speaking, President Trump has every right to question the integrity of the election. As can be seen though, every challenge that he's made has been rejected by higher and higher courts. So for instance even though the Supreme Court has more conservative judges in it right now, this does not mean that they fully support the president and all his wishes, they are there to interpret constitutional law, and if a member of any party is incorrect, then they are incorrect and the court's responsibility is to determine this and make a ruling. Regarding personality and behavior, I fully agree that President Trump has not acted presidential, ever, except enough to get elected in 2016. He showed his true colors the minute he took office and has never stopped doing so, nor will he stop doing so after he leaves office. But, he will leave office, that is the current will of the people. I treat what he says or attempts at present, as senseless and of no purpose. He's been called a Lame Duck president, and that is truthful. |
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Well, I'm gobsmacked! The Trump team engineered a suit by the State of Texas against four other states that voted for Biden (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan), because interstate lawsuits automatically go straight to the Supreme Court. And of course he has carefully packed the Supreme Court with conservative Republicans. Remember how the last one went in just before the election?
But the court decided to bite the hand that fed them. They said that Texas "lacks standing" in the case. In other words, it's none of Texas's business how Pennsylvania votes. I must say, I had assumed that Trump had a tame Supreme Court at his disposal but I was wrong. |
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...9be_story.html "Democrats and Paxton’s critics say his entering the fray of Trump’s election battle is one of two things: an effort to seek a presidential pardon or to shore up his conservative credentials to hold off an expected reelection challenge in 2022 from George P. Bush, son of former Florida governor Jeb Bush." 8bit |
^ All sorts of turkeys seeking Trumps pardon before the end of the year...
It seems USA senate elections are too complicated for a pampered European like me ("We Americans like our Democracy unfiltered, with all the grit accumalulated in two-and-a-half centuries!"). But I heard on the news that Georgia could turn the senate's majority in January. I would welcome that, but not without concern. Quote:
Some article somewhere saying "Trump cannot fire Barrett" ... |
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Georgia's specific election system is also somewhat unique, where Senators do the 'instant primary' at the vote - the reason there is another vote in January is because none of the candidates in November met the threshold to be elected. The reason 'both' are being elected at once is also unique - normally that will never happen, but in this case a Senator in a different election class (different 'sequence' of 6 year terms) retired before his term ended, and is being replaced by special election (which was ALSO held in November, and where ALSO none of the candidates cross the threshold for election). Specifically Georgia is holding its 'normal' Class II election (for a term that will run 2020-2026) and the 'special' Class III election (for a term that will run 2020-2022), so Georgians will be voting again for that seat in 2022. Quote:
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SCOTUS justices can be impeached, which requires an act of congress - it has been done once in US history (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Samuel_Chase) and just like the handful of Presidents who have been impeached, he was not convicted by the Senate. The idea here is that the 'people' ultimately hold the power - don't like the president, or a supreme court justice? Vote in new representatives and have them impeached! |
Thank you for the explanation & insight, obobskivich.
I wish the Orange Baby was as well informed on these matters as you are. Even so: Quote:
The first half is naïve, the second half - well I still remember what a big thing it was for DT to put in a "known republican" so hastily, before the election, to tip the party-political balance of the supreme court, etc., yadda yadda, it was all on the news for weeks just a couple of months ago. But really, we should start focusing our attention away from the seemingly non-stop tantrum-throwing toddler to the president elect. Another question from a dumb European: What do y'all think, if the senate's balance tips towards the elected government, that will mean easier going for the upcoming government, yes? Is this generally considered a good thing or rather not, what are the implications? All hypothetical of course. |
@ondoho,
Perhaps you should review this: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fede..._United_States to learn about the actual organization of the US government. obobskivich's statement about the Supreme Court is not absurd. It is naive to subscribe to news stories as a 100% valid truth, many are opinion based. I'm not a defender of Trump, however I do not choose to call him names, nor generalize about the intelligence of Europeans, which does degrade this discussion, as you so wish that not to happen. Trump as a sitting president does have the authority to make a nomination to the Supreme Court. Congress can approve this or not, they have approved all nominations. All the political opinions that it shouldn't have been done are 'opinions'. Once again, the trio of Executive, Legislative, and Judicial branches is an important point you should pay attention to. There also are no guarantees that dice have a memory, so just because a congress largely weighed towards one party can exist, this does not mean that all members vote along party lines, in fact they regularly do have members who vote contrary to the rest of their party. I believe the world around, there's nothing new if the press doesn't like you, they make sure they print adverse stories about you. The more pressing matters which I find to be concerning and non-presidential, include: Allowing and encouraging racism and divisiveness in the country, ignoring a global pandemic, using social media on an everyday basis with inflammatory statements, obvious aggressive behavior with all persons who hold a different opinion, complete ignorance of environmental matters, divisiveness with nearly every other country, and the obvious non-professional behavior regarding election results. Tomorrow morning the formal Electoral votes will be cast. Historically this has been a perfunctory action, with very valid meaning, but trivial ceremony and reporting. This year that will be different. I'm disappointed that this is so, however glad with the result. |
It will be interesting to me to see exactly how many Republicans are "just trying to ride out the storm", and start acting normally again once trump's takeover of the Republican party comes to an end, and/or trump leaves office. I doubt politics will ever be the same again though, in the US and elsewhere, that said. It will also be interesting to see if the Republicans continue with "Trumpism" to keep loyal trump supporters on side, or they ditch "Trumpism" and split their own base, as it will be the Democrats that will be the net winners out of it either way. As it's important to understand that a lot of trump supporters themselves will tell you that they support trump first and foremost, and at least a certain percentage of them will also tell you that they couldn't give a rats ass about the Republican party, they support trump, full stop, period.
So I'd hate to be a "moderate republican" right now, no thanks... |
The timeline has the 14th, tomorrow, as the date that the electoral college casts its votes. Then after that the votes are collected on the 23rd and, before Jan 3rd, are archived. Then on the 6th of January those votes are tallied and on the 20th the new president is sworn in.
The GOP has flirted with sedition a lot in recent decades, one of the clear cut but unprosecuted cases centered around Grover Norquist. However, over a 120 GOP congress members have gone on the record with more than flirting with sedition. At this point it can be actionable as they have become ineligble to serve in congress. The 14th amendment, section 3, if actually enforced, forbids them from taking office now. Infighting while the country spirals out the bottom end of a recession into a full out depression benefits almost no one, not even the politicians involved. |
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Also keep in mind, even if the DNC wins both seats in Georgia, they are only left with a simple majority - that doesn't mean they can just steamroll the GOP as a result, because not all votes can be won with simple majority (this is also why, when the GOP did win both houses of the legislature + the presidency in 2016 they could not just steamroll the DNC). 'Good' or 'Bad' here are matters of opinion - for partisans its 'good' if 'their side' is winning, or 'bad' if 'their side' is losing. For the actual functioning of the US Federal Gov't I'm not sure there's a clear argument either way, especially for day-to-day things (because I think there's way more context needed beyond simple GOP vs DNC). Quote:
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A similar conundrum arose with the decision in the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, where the ruling stated that the plaintiffs had not brought their suit in a timely manner. The matter in question was the legality of no-excuse mail-in voting, but the unconstitutional decision by the Pennsylvania governor happened in October 2019, and the judge ruled that the suit should have been filed back then. But if the plaintiffs had tried filing a year ago, the election hadn't yet happened so no party had suffered any injury, and hence they wouldn't have had standing to sue. Catch-22. |
obobskivich, thanks again for further explaning things without demeaning me or my differing opinions.
rtmistler: thanks for throwing a wikipedia article at me. Once again i get the feeling you have it out for me. At no point did I call obobskivich's statements absurd. Me calling myself stupid is not a generalisation and does not degrade this discussion. Please don't distort my meaning, and don't put words in my mouth. If you really want to "moderate" in the true sense of the word, I think you should leave me alone now. Yes, I am opinionated. I'm not trying to feign objectivity. That doesn't mean I "degrade" the discussion, quite the opposite - in my opinion. |
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I do not have anything out for you, and used the term absurd by my own right, so sorry you misinterpreted that. I will always tell people that self deprecation and name calling (orange baby) are poor things to do. That is my opinionated side. WRT the topics surrounding whether or not a politician in the US would be able to forge ahead with seemingly unrealistic intentions, I ask the general readers why they feel that this could be so? Is this a biased opinion about American politics? Is this bias due to being within a different government where those types of things can, and do, occur? Is it due to numerous press stories and also public statements made by the president which confuse or give these impressions? Or some combination thereof, or other reasons? Why I'm asking is that I've never questioned the election results, nor questioned that these challenges have any legal grounds once I got the information that each objection point made had no actual evidence. WRT name calling, some history and basis, if you'll excuse the off-topic, or at the very least, ignore post this sentence: I grew up and live near the Boston area of MA, sadly reputed to be the most racist area of our country, dating far back, but examples such as Jackie Robinson and statements made from the stands, the 'N' word spoken, when he visited the park, along with a great deal of visiting sports players stating that they've heard the same yelled in general, all the time, including (pre-covid that is) presently. My bias is "not if I have anything to do with it", meaning that I'd prefer to not have that reputation due both to any of my actions or words and also to make a note to people if I hear them using actions or words to make things worse, that they should not do that. The 'c' word, the 'n' word, the 'f' word, these are words where I learned that they are draconianly bad to use, and to hear. Meanwhile I hear African Americans use the 'n' word profusely. This is bad, it is self deprecating, doesn't matter that they see no harm in their own use of it, the result is still the same. How does some of that tie into politics? Bear with me for a tad more history as well as one final story: I did vote for Trump in 2016. I felt he was a better alternative to Hillary Clinton, who's husband I did vote for, but who also disappointed me with the shenanigans that occurred during his office term. I felt that Hillary Clinton's reputation, or make-up as a political leader/person was little different than her husband's. Shortly after Trump took office and began to make a lot of insulting statements, I realized that it was going to be a long 4 years, and it has been. So he didn't get my vote this time and I'm glad he's not going to get a second term. I also feel two things about any possible second term for him (1) he's so egotistical that once he's been rejected by the public, he'll wash his hands and not run again, in his opinion, leaving us to our own ignorance, or (2) he has no chance at all due to the way things have gone and he'll not even come close to a future nomination and also have far less support from the Republican party. The final story part is my ultimate example of how bad things are when people "call names", a friend showed me a picture of a Biden/Harris 2020 political sign, in front of a house, on a very public street. The sign appeared to start 100% as a normal Biden sign, however in large, prominent letters at the top, the message was modified to include the 'f' word, as in <bleep> Biden/Harris 2020. And then the rest of the house/property was decorated with Trump signs. This presidency is the first time that I have ever seen persons publicly saying all these very nasty things about candidates, and other people, solely because they supported one candidate over another. In spite of my non-support of the current president, I still cringe when I hear people call him names, and ask them not to do so. Feel free though, I'm not your parent. |
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I doubt your country has seen the end of "Trumpism", even after biden takes office... |
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It's difficult to say, I literally saw a recorded video of a recent Trump speech where he said that if he loses the election, he'd have to leave the country. I feel he intended that to be humorous, but count me as one person who thought, "Do not let the door hit you on the backside as you're exiting." People have short lived memories. If 2.5 to 3 years from now Trump starts campaigning and various persons of seeming good merit, show support for him, and he does something attune to reinventing his public persona, then who knows what can happen? I'm not concerned about that future time frame with respect to future presidential elections, at this time. And I feel that subscribing to any strong beliefs that there will be a certain outcome a few years in the future seems to be pointless, but I'm sure people will continue to speculate. For now, or after January 20th, he's 'yesterday's news'. |
I should point out that I'm no trump supporter myself. I wasn't surprised he won in 2016 however, and never thought that Hillary "had it in the bag" for a minute. I can understand why people elected him instead of Hillary, given the resentment a lot of, and particularly "working class" people had for the establishment, and Hillary was, and is very a part of the same establishment. Where on the other hand, trump honestly was a complete outsider and not "yet another establishment stooge" in the eyes of a lot of people in the "rust belt" states in particular.
Trump simply took full advantage of the resentment people had towards the establishment, with people hoping trump was going to become "more presidential" during his term. But clearly, he's just too much of a complete narcissist to act "presidential" and it's been a failed experiment. He's also given a platform to the fringe who otherwise would not have had a voice under any other president. So biden is going to have his work cut out for him, to say the very least. |
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With any luck, Trump will still be in prison in 2024. Problem solved.
8bit |
I had really hoped to discuss the future of the USA and the oncoming democratic government. Instead it's all about DT - again. Thanks but no thanks, we discussed it ad nauseum.
I really hope the next 4 years are going to be less "entertaining" than the past 4 years. Re "name calling": IMO this term is way too broad, as in "I'm against name calling". In most countries, political satire is a daily part of news and journalism (and has been for a long time) and contains all sorts of "name calling", however not in the sense of using swear words, but in the sense of creating & applying all sorts of (possibly derogatory) nicknames. I don't mind if it's alittle demeaning as long as it's also creative and contains at least a seed of justified criticism. I do mind if it's demeaning just for its own sake. Of course, if I were living on a radically divided powder keg I might feel differently. |
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Once again, personal opinion. I personally feel that Biden wants to address the great amount of tension and divisiveness in the country. The great deal of protests, shootings, and negative acts which have come from those, seem to be a great concern and I have the opinion that Biden does not intend to just send troops and mandate, but instead to find better solutions globally for things like authority violence and also the resultant public ire about those things. There are several subjects which are pervasive for any leader of the US, international trade, international relations, economy, defense, health/welfare/social services, environment, etc. While happy to discuss those, I'd also say that "Biden's platform was as stated during his campaign, this doesn't always work out exactly as they projected, but they'll typically try to address what they express.", and my crystal ball is no different than anyone else's, but there's some level of personal faith that he's nowhere near the type of person who would be revealed to be a complete liar. That said he does have a political record, which people can read up on and make some of their own judgements. Regarding the pandemic, providing vaccines are effective and can get distributed, his real efforts would probably be to provide assurance to the public and display a calm demeanor as well as contend with any hiccups which occur with distribution. Then work with Congress to deal with things like economic recovery and possible measures to contend with something like this in the future. |
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8bit |
As reported by AP, Republicans in Georgia’s state Senate are calling for an end to absentee voting without cause and want to ban ballot drop boxes. It is obvious the GOP wants to focus on voter suppression and disenfranchise lawful voters. What is comical is that a Republican-controlled legislature introduced no excuse absentee voting in 2005.
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^ yeah, I heard that too.
I also heard a political scientist here in Europe state that if the senate could help the democrats introduce more changes into foreign policy, like (new) international agreements and such. So here's a foreigner hoping that it turns out that way. |
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It looks like the democrats might win this one, and get a senate majority!
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I'm not sure that's a good thing. The American system seems to work better when the president doesn't have a rubber stamp in congress.
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Maybe, If the results are less then 0.5% there will be a recount so will have to wait a bit longer officially...
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I keep saying: this country needs more parties. But incidentally you are answering the question I asked in this thread initially. Can you elaborate? |
I'm no expert, but the whole idea of separation of powers seems to be designed to prevent a president from acting like a monarch.
Obviously if the opposition completely dominate congress, then you have stalemate. But a small opposition majority means that the president has to persuade a few people to switch sides on specific legislation because his proposals are actually sensible and worth passing into law. That could lead to more civilised politics. In the UK until recently, governments could more or less steamroller their policies through because, by definition, they had a majority in the House of Commons, and there was no other source of political power. |
Intense drama, embarrassing drama, globally.
But, GA is done, it was close and the democrats both won. Same thing with the presidential election, finally as confirmed as officially as it can be. I agree that there's no guarantees with a 50-50 senate. Some votes require 2/3 majority not just 'a' majority. And I've already noted before that not everyone always votes the party line. Hazel said it similar to my thoughts, the lawmakers in general need to get along and argue their points to be able to pass legislation. And whether that be 5 parties, or even 1 party. You'd have to assume that with 535 persons, there's going to be some who disagree with a proposed initiative. So while there's general policy leanings of any given party, there's also just fundamental agreement about points. A democrat on the western coast may have far different policy concerns than a democrat on the eastern coast 3,000 miles away. It doesn't have to be cross parties to be a discussion point. |
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My previous comment was extreme, just like the term "rubber stamp congress" is extreme. Still, as a non-US resident: I heard a political scientist here in Europe state that having the senate on your side is more important for changes to foreign policy, (new) international agreements and such. And I believe the USA should change their foreign policy, or generally practice more multilateral foreign policy (again). Anyhow, it's hard not to be gleeful after what Trump's party have been pulling for the past years up until this very moment. It is rather obvious that sanity lies in the opposite direction. |
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They include[:] (1) overriding presidential vetoes, Article I, Section 7, clause 2; (2) removing Federal officers through impeachment proceedings with conviction by two-thirds vote of the Senate, Article I, Section 3, clause 6; (3) ratifying treaties by two-thirds vote of the Senate, Article II, Section 2, clause 2; (4) expelling members from the House or Senate, Article I, Section 5, clause 2; and (5) proposing constitutional amendments, Article V. In addition, the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution, ratified in 1868, disallowed anyone who engaged in “insurrection or rebellion” from holding any civil or military office unless each house removed this disability by a two-thirds vote. The 25th Amendment, ratified in 1967, addresses the issues of presidential succession and inability. In the case of an Acting President, the House and Senate, by a two-thirds vote of each chamber, may determine that “the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office.”' https://www.senate.gov/CRSpubs/852a3...ba1d313b9f.pdf I think Trump is a dullard and not a very nice man but he was one of the best Presidents in a very long time. Edit: Both the House and Senate can set their own rules so I expect Biden to 'pack' SCOTUS with a simple majority within his first term. Edit1: You keep hearing the word 'insurrection' because if the Congress doesn't get Trump impeached they'll use that to negate Trump in 2024. |
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I can see this being an instant flame but the best in a very long time is a bit relative and while he did some good things the oh craps far out weighed them I can only say not really. |
The Presidents approval ratings rose, when the citizens, with violence, put the swamp on notice.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub..._index_history |
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telling than a day or two's numbers. He was already on the way up from a strong low through the end of Dec. I'm not taking sides, just reading the data more fairly. https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ez_track_jan08 8bit |
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