That's the 32 bit file is why. For some reason when I pasted the link it didn't paste the 64 bit link.
The right dowload is.
That's why the command didn't work, they have different names.
I should have just done it all in the shell:
wget http://download.macromedia.com/pub/labs/flashplayer10/libflashplayer-10.0.45.2.linux-x86_64.so.tar.gz && tar -C ~/.mozilla/plugins -xvzf libflash*64*
which downloads it and extracts it directly to where it needs to go. My apologies for the bad link.